Footy on my mind – round 6Posted: April 28, 2011
AFL Round 6
West Coast Eagles v Melbourne, Thursday 8.40pm, Patersons Stadium
Sydney Swans v Carlton, Friday 7.40pm, SCG
North Melbourne v Port Adelaide, Saturday 2.10pm, Etihad Stadium
Richmond v Brisbane Lions, Saturday 7.10pm, MCG
Adelaide v St Kilda, Saturday 7.40pm, AAMI Stadium
Essendon v Gold Coast Suns, Sunday 1.10pm, Etihad Stadium
Collingwood v Western Bulldogs, Sunday 4.40pm, MCG
Byes: Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn
West Coast Eagles v Melbourne
Patersons Stadium, Thursday 8.40pm
I worry about the Dees. At the moment they’re playing a very defensive game style and rely on scoring from the counter-attack. They’re allowing other sides to play their own game, and when you do that it makes it very difficult to consistently win four quarters of competitive football. Dean Bailey’s Demons have a huge challenge over in the West against the West Coast Eagles, who are in form. I’ve been very impressed with the Eagles this year, their pressure and defensive structures are standing up very well at the moment, which makes it increasingly difficult for the opposition to play their own game. The Demons have plenty of upside and real genuine talent at their disposal. Their runners in Davey, Bennell, Bail, Grimes, Bartram, Tapscott, Gysberts, Trengove, Morton and co need to be encouraged to play on, take risks, use their pace and create as many opportunities for their forwards to score possible. To win the Demons need to take the game on and move quickly. I don’t think the Dees have enough in them to win away so I’m tipping the Eagles.
West Coast Eagles by 12 points.
Sydney Swans v Carlton
SCG, Friday 7.40pm
I’m expecting another tight contest between the Swans and Blues. Coming off the bye, the Swans are fresh and ready to go. The Swans are honest performers week-in-week-out and that’s why they’re so hard to beat. Sydney play very well at the SCG and Carlton haven’t won there since 1993. Kennelly is a big inclusion for Sydney to add to the run of Shaw, Mattner, McVeigh and Jetta. The Blues are top-4 and going along nicely but I do worry for them down back. Jamison will get first crack at Goodes when he plays forward, but he will probably go to Judd in the midfield. I’m tipping the Swans in a tight contest.
Sydney Swans by 6 points.
North Melbourne v Richmond
Etihad Stadium, Saturday 2.10pm
Both the Kangaroos and Port Adelaide will be itching for a win after disappointing starts to the season. This is a game the Roos have to find a way to win. They’ve promised alot, they’ve been impacted with injuries to key players and due to a lack of depth in their list, those absentees have been very significant. They’ve got alot to prove this week and should get over the line but I’m tipping an upset. The Roos have brought in three first gamers who have exactly what they need – pace – Speight, MacMillan and Harper. Port Adelaide regain Brogan, Kane Cornes and Paul Stewart.
Port Adelaide by 15 points.
Richmond v Brisbane Lions
MCG, Saturday 7.10pm
The Lions haven’t got a win yet but it’s not far away. I like what Michael Voss is doing at the moment, giving the kids opportunities but not being blown out of the water. They’re going alot better then what people are giving them credit for. Redden and Rockliff are two very exciting up-and-comers, Adcock has emerged as a real leader in the absence of Jonathan Brown and ruckman Leuenberger has showed he can play forward as well. The Lions weren’t far off beating St Kilda last week and I think Michael Voss has found some substance to work with, after it looked hopeless early on. Richmond have lost Daniel Jackson to suspension, which is a big blow, but the Tiges will need to shift things up a gear to beat the determined Lions this week.
Brisbane Lions by 5 points.
Adelaide v St Kilda
AAMI Stadium, Saturday 7.40pm
The Crows must start winning these home games. Losses on their home turf just isn’t good enough. If they’re serious about playing finals, they need to win these games. St Kilda aren’t much better either. They look listless, out of confidence and their structures that have been so successful the past few years are now exposed and vulnerable. They need youth, pace and a 22 who earn their spots. The loss of midfield general Lenny Hayes has been telling and they now must cope without him. I’m backing the Crows at home.
Adelaide by 12 points.
Essendon v Gold Coast Suns
Etihad Stadium, Sunday 1.10pm
The historic first win for the Gold Coast last week was fantastic, but they won’t beat Essendon this week. For mine, the Bombers have been the big bolters so far and James Hird has his team playing a professional style of football. They’ll be real challengers come the business end of the season. The Bombers’ experience and slightly bigger bodies will be no match for teenagers McKenzie, Weller and Dixon. We all know the likes of Ablett, Swallow, Bennell and Matera got under Port Adelaide’s guard last week but that won’t happen against the Bombers. All we want to see is those snippets of brilliance, plus competitive football, but they won’t be able to string together four quarters of it, which is exactly what they will need to do to beat the Bombers. The loss of Bock to suspension will deeply hurt the Suns’ defence, who are already without Campbell Brown and Michael Coad.
Essendon by 25 points.
Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
MCG, Sunday 4.40pm
No chance for the Dogs here. No Hudson, Hall, Higgins and Giansiracusa remains on the sidelines for the Sunday twilight clash against the best in the business. With no Hall, Higgins and Giansiracusa in the forward line, the Dogs have the opportunity to try something different and experiment a bit. To win, the Dogs need to use their pace and flair to take the game on and give their forwards the best possible chance of kicking a winning score. Their midfield needs to be strategic in going forward though, not just bomb it in long to the Collingwood defence, who will just run it out. Should be a free flowing and entertaining contest but Pies for me.
Collingwood by 18 points.