Footy on my mind – round 10Posted: May 26, 2011
AFL Round 10
Friday, May 27
Carlton v Melbourne
Saturday, May 28
North Melbourne v Sydney Swans
Fremantle v St Kilda
Gold Coast Suns v Geelong
Richmond v Port Adelaide
Sunday, May 29
Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
Collingwood v West Coast Eagles
Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Carlton v Melbourne, MCG, Friday 7.40pm (EST)
Melbourne are in trouble. Aaron Davey and Luke Tapscott join the growing list of injuries, which will go against them in a pivotal clash with an inform Carlton side on Friday night. The Blues were unlucky to go down to Geelong last week but they’ll bounce back in this one and prove too strong for a side missing too many of their starting 18.
Carlton by 18 points.
North Melbourne v Sydney Swans, Etihad Stadium, Saturday 2.10pm (EST)
Big game for both clubs, coming off disappointing losses last week. I think the inclusions of Levi Greenwood and Liam Anthony will give the Roos more pace to burn through the midfield, while I’m looking forward to seeing key forward Lewis Johnston make his debut at Docklands. Tipping the Roos in the close one, they appear to be slowly getting their best team together. Vital midfielder Ryan Bastinac returns via the VFL this weekend and shouldn’t be far away, while ruckman Hamish McIntosh and key defender Nathan Grima are still another month away. I like the Roos at home and tipping them in a close one.
North Melbourne by 12 points.
Fremantle v St Kilda, Patersons Stadium, Saturday 1.10pm (EST)
The Saints finally started to get going last week and got the four points over the Demons, while the Dockers easily accounted for the Power at AAMI Stadium. The Dockers will miss Aaron Sandilands, who is sidelined for up to a month with a toe, but his exodus paves the way for ex-Crow Jonathon Griffin to make his debut. The Saints finally bring in key forward Tom Lynch at the expense of the injured Jamie Cripps, so looking forward to seeing what he can bring to the St Kilda forward set up. Despite the Saints winning last week, I can’t see them beating the Dockers in Perth.
Fremantle by 20 points.
Gold Coast Suns v Geelong, Metricon Stadium, Saturday 7.20pm (EST)
The undefeated Cats will travel up north to tackle the Suns, who are fresh off the bye. Alot of interest rides into this game, with Gary Ablett facing his ex-Geelong teammates for the very first time. Both sides have big ins with the Suns welcoming back Daniel Harris, Charlie Dixon and highly rated draftee Dion Prestia. The Cats regain skipper Cameron Ling, Tom Lonergan, Cameron Mooney and will blood first gamer Josh Cowan. I’ll be watching this game with great interest but despite the emotion of Geelong legend Bob Davis’ passing and Gary Ablett coming up against his former side for the first time, I’m tipping the undefeated Cats, who are going beautifully at the moment.
Geelong by 15 points.
Richmond v Port Adelaide, TIO Stadium, Saturday 8.10pm (EST)
The Tigers have been ultra impressive this season, and were very good in last week’s win over Essendon in Dreamtime at the ‘G. Port Adelaide, meanwhile, just can’t take a trick – 1 win so far this season and sitting rock bottom. Steven Salopek has again been dropped and I’m surprised that’s the only change to their side after last week’s showing against the Dockers at home. Brad Miller and Matt White return for the Tigers. A no-brainer here. Richmond will make it two wins in a row and sneak into the eight.
Richmond by 25 points.
Adelaide v Brisbane Lions, AAMI Stadium, Sunday 12.40pm (EST)
The Lions finally got their first win on the board last week, but this week’s trip to Adelaide to face the highly-fancied Crows will test them. Ash McGrath and Andrew Raines are among the inclusions for the Lions, while the Crows have welcome back Taylor Walker, Brad Moran, Myke Cook, Jared Petrenko and Aiden Riley in exchange for the omitted Chris Schmidt and Richard Tambling. The Crows will be determined to respond after last week’s loss to Collingwood and they play well at home so tipping the Crows.
Adelaide by 20 points.
Collingwood v West Coast Eagles, MCG, Sunday 2.10pm (EST)
This game could be match of the round, both sides in great form and the Eagles are every chance to cause an upset. The Pies have added Alan Toovey, Lachlan Keefe and Alex Fasolo to their squad, while the Eagles could blood father son selection Jacob Brennan as well as Tom Swift and Andrew Gaff. There are grave concerns that Dane Swan won’t play, and with first choice ruckman Darren Jolly also missing, the Eagles could cause a huge upset in Melbourne. I’ve been very impressed with the Eagles this year and I’m tipping them to upset the Magpies on Sunday.
West Coast Eagles by 7 points.
Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn, Etihad Stadium, Sunday 4.40pm (EST)
The Dogs have endured a horror week, since their 123 point capitulation to the inform West Coast Eagles in Perth last round, while the Hawks are up and about after their first win in two years against the Swans at the SCG. Rodney Eade has swing the axe – sending Lindsay Gilbee, Brennan Stack and Jarrad Grant back to the VFL bringing in Josh Hill, Sam Reid, Barry Hall, debutant Christian Howard, Nathan Djerrkurra and Mitch Wallis. Alot of careers at the Dogs are on the line, and everyone will be watching. Inclusions Rick Ladson and Clinton Young give the Hawks plenty of run while key forward Jordan Lisle could play his first game at AFL level. Alot riding on this game but without Brian Lake and several players out of form, I can’t see the Dogs winning.
Hawthorn by 30 points.