Footy on my mind – round 11Posted: June 3, 2011
AFL Round 11
Friday, June 3
Essendon v Melbourne
Saturday, June 4
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns
Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans
Collingwood v St Kilda
Sunday, June 5
Hawthorn v Fremantle
North Melbourne v Adelaide
Port Adelaide v Carlton
Essendon v Melbourne, MCG, Friday 7.40pm (EST)
The Bombers come into this game fresh off the bye and should get the four points, despite the absence of skipper Jobe Watson, Michael Hurley and the suspended Heath Hocking. The Demons are struggling and the ongoing absence of Mark Jamar, Jack Grimes and Colin Garland is hurting them. The Demons need to stick to a game plan and be consistent over four quarters, and until they do that, I can’t see them winning a game of footy. The Bombers will be too strong.
Essendon by 30 points.
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns, Patersons Stadium, Saturday 3.10pm (EST)
This will be a huge trip for this young Gold Coast group, facing a much improved West Coast. The Suns will fancy themselves and be competitive but I don’t think they can sustain it over the full four quarters. I worry for the Suns’ defense, who’ll have to cover Josh Kennedy, Quinten Lynch and Mark Lecras. The Eagles play well in Perth and will be too strong for the Suns.
West Coast Eagles by 40 points.
Geelong v Western Bulldogs, Skilled Stadium, Saturday 2.10pm (EST)
The undefeated Cats have won their past 25 successive games at Skilled Stadium, and that trend should continue against the struggling Western Bulldogs. The Dogs need to find some continuity but they will struggle against the in-form Cats. Good to see Rodney Eade blooding a new player for this game, key position player James Mulligan. Mulligan, along with Mitch Wallis, Tom Liberatore and Christian Howard are the future. Cats, though, will be too good on Saturday.
Geelong by 45 points.
Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans, Gabba, Saturday 7.40pm (EST)
The Lions have their confidence up with the skipper Jonathan Brown giving them some much needed spirit and a vocal point up forward, which has resulted in two successive wins on the trot. The Swans are back in form and will regain Kieran Jack and Shane Mumford in the coming weeks. The Swans will have the Lions covered through the midfield particularly and a healthy reliance of goalkickers up forward. These two sides have had close encounters before and I expect another one.
Sydney by 7 points.
Collingwood v St Kilda, MCG, Saturday 7.10pm (EST)
The Saints are getting back to what made them a top four side – hard, contested footy with the ability of midfielders pushing forward to kick goals and support Nick Riewoldt. The Magpies, though, are a pack ahead of the rest – which was very evident against the Eagles last week. The Grand Final re-match has plenty riding on it, with the Saints having the biggest challenge in football on the big stage under lights.
Collingwood by 25 points.
Hawthorn v Fremantle, MCG, Sunday 1.10pm (EST)
Loving the way Hawthorn are going about it, their past month has been very good and they’ll approach this game with great confidence. Fremantle are in trouble and will enter this game as the underdogs. A damaging injury list, which includes Aaron Sandilands, is a concern and the Dockers can’t afford too many more fadeouts this season. The Hawks are a better side than the Dockers at the moment and they should win this one.
Hawthorn by 30 points.
North Melbourne v Adelaide, Etihad Stadium, Sunday 2.10pm (EST)
Brent Harvey equals Glenn Archer’s game records holder at the club on the weekend with 311 games to his name – an extraordinary effort for one of the great all time players of our game. The skipper’s club hosts an inconsistent Adelaide, an important clash for both sides. I’m tipping the Crows because the Roos are struggling to kick goals and make the most of their opportunities when they are in possession of the football. Both sides like to play free-flowing attacking football which will probably see a shoot out at Etihad Stadium. Whoever makes the most of their opportunities will win but I think the Crows have a stronger line up.
Adelaide by 12 points.
Port Adelaide v Carlton, AAMI Stadium, Sunday 4.40pm (EST)
It was great to see Matthew Primus and Port Adelaide get a much needed victory last week against the Tigers, who were disappointing. They host top four side Carlton this week, which will be a big challenge. The Blues are in very good form and will be too strong for the inexperienced Power line up.
Carlton by 20 points.