Footy on my mind – round 14Posted: June 23, 2011
AFL Round 14
Friday, June 24
Hawthorn v Essendon
Saturday, June 25
Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs
Richmond v Melbourne
Sydney Swans v Collingwood
Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
Sunday, June 26
Geelong v Adelaide
Carlton v West Coast Eagles
Port Adelaide v North Melbourne
Bye: St Kilda
Hawthorn v Essendon, MCG, Friday 7.40pm (EST)
Hawthorn come into this game without their two key forwards, the injured Jarryd Roughead and the suspended Lance Franklin. The Bombers, who have lost their past four, desperately need a win to keep in the finals race and their chances are boosted with Hawthorn’s big absentees. Expect a big crowd to flock to the MCG for this Friday night blockbuster that could go either way, but I think it will be beyond the Hawks this time round.
Essendon by 12 points.
Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs, Metricon Stadium, Saturday 2.10pm (EST)
Expecting the Dogs to win here, as the notable Gold Coast young bodies starting to tire as the season rolls on. Rob Murphy, Daniel Giansiracusa, Ryan Griffen and skipper Matthew Boyd were all terrific against the Crows last week and I expect them to back it up. The Suns should regain ruck sensation Zac Smith and no. 1 draft pick David Swallow, who will strengthen them up. I’ve been impressed with the Suns in year one, they’ve been competitive and held their own against quality opposition in short bursts. The Dogs aren’t in premiership winning form but should get the job done, just.
Western Bulldogs by 10 points.
Richmond v Melbourne, MCG, Saturday 2.10pm (EST)
Huge game for both these clubs and the ramifications for both will be huge no matter what the result. Both the Dees and the Tigers are fighting for a spot in the eight but for the loser, another loss may prove too high of a hill to climb to taste finals action. I’m tipping the Tigers due to the fact that they’re a bigger side with more experience and more continuity than that of the Demons.
Richmond by 20 points.
Sydney Swans v Collingwood, ANZ Stadium, Saturday 7.10pm (EST)
Big danger game for the Swans. They lose ruckman Shane Mumford to a 2 week suspension, while the Pies will welcome back Darren Jolly, Dane Swan and Dale Thomas. This game is huge for the Swans, if they’re any chance of making the top four they need to win this game, but I don’t think it’ll happen. A big game with alot riding on it for both sides.
Collingwood by 20 points.
Fremantle v Brisbane Lions, Patersons Stadium, Saturday 7.40pm (EST)
The injury riddled Lions will be without Mitch Clark and Todd Banfield for their clash in the west, against a Fremantle side needing to atone for last week’s horror loss to Melbourne at the MCG. Aaron Sandilands is a chance to return while skipper Matthew Pavlich needs to play as a permanent forward. On the wide spaces of Patersons Stadium, the Dockers should win.
Fremantle by 25 points.
Geelong v Adelaide, Skilled Stadium, Sunday 1.10pm (EST)
No brainer here. The Cats have a great winning record at their home fortress of Skilled Stadium, and that will continue against a very inconsistent Adelaide on Sunday. The Crows at least need to show more spirit and be competitive for most of the day but it’s hard to see them troubling the undefeated Geelong side.
Geelong by 45 points.
Carlton v West Coast Eagles, Etihad Stadium, Sunday 2.10pm (EST)
Match of the round for me. The Blues are in terrific form and sit in the top four, a trend they’ll be looking to continue. Robbie Warnock will replace the injured Shaun Hampson to assist Matthew Kreuzer as they contend with Dean Cox and Nic Naitanui in the ruck. The Eagles have been the bolters of 2011 and if they’re going to stake claim as a top four side, then they must beat the Blues. Their record in Melbourne isn’t anything to boast about but come Sunday, they need to perform. I think the Blues are in better form and will be too strong for the Eagles.
Carlton by 15 points.
Port Adelaide v North Melbourne, AAMI Stadium, Sunday 4.40pm (EST)
Expect a close game here. Port Adelaide have improved and been alot more competitive than what they were earlier on this season. Steven Salopek and David Rodan should be included in the Power side after starring in the SANFL while the Roos should welcome back Lachie Hansen from concussion. Despite the upside down at Alberton, Roos have the stronger line up and I expect them to get the job done.
North Melbourne by 12 points.